How to Evaluate Companies With Negative Cash Flow Investments (2024)

Understanding why a company has a negative cash flow from investing activities can be a challenge. It could be a warning sign that the company's management is not efficiently using its assets to generate revenue. But it might also be a positive sign that management is positioning the company for future growth.

You can tell which it is by taking a close look at the company's cash flow statement.

Key Takeaways

  • If a company has a negative cash flow from investing activities, it will appear on the cash from investing activities section of their cash flow statement.
  • The cash flow statement indicates how well a company's management generates cash to pay its debts and fund its operating expenses.
  • A company might have a negative cash flow from investing activities because management is investing in long-term assets that should help its future growth.
  • To decide if a company's negative cash flow from investing activities is a positive or negative sign, investors should review the entire cash flow statement.

The Cash Flow Statement

Cash flow from investing activitiesis one of the threesections that make up a company's statement of cash flows. This part of its financial report summarizes the amount ofcash and cash equivalents(CCE) entering and leaving a company during a stated period.

The cash flow statement complementsthebalance sheetandincome statement.

The cash flow statement (CFS)reports how the company uses the money it takes in from its operations. The main components of the cash flow statement are:

  • Cash from operating activities
  • Cash from investing activities
  • Cash from financing activities

Cash From Investing Activities

The investing activities section includes any outflows of cash or sources of cash from a company's investments. A purchase or sale of an asset, cash out due to a merger or acquisition, loans made, or loan proceeds received are all included.

In short, any changes in assets, investments, or equipment will be accounted for in investing activities. When a company divests an asset, the transaction is considered a credit or "cash in" and is listed in investing activities.

Interpreting Negative Cash Flow

Companies and investors naturally like to see positive cash flow from all of a company's operations, but having negative cash flow from investing activities is not always bad. To make an evaluation of a company's investing activities, investors need to review the company's particular situation in greater detail.

It's not uncommon for a growing company to have a negative cash flow from investing activities. For example, if a growing company decides to invest in long-term fixed assets, it will appear as a decrease in cash withinthat company's cash flow from investing activities.

Even well-established companies makeinvestments in long-term assets such as property and equipment from timeto time. This might cause investing activities to go negative for the period.

Real World Example of Negative Cash Flow Investments

For example, below is the cash flow statement from Exxon Mobil (XOM). Here are some important points to consider:

  • We can see that net cash used in investing activities was-$1.859 billion for the period (highlighted in green).
  • Thetwo primary drivers for the negative investing activities number were the purchase of property, plant, and equipment (PP&E) for$3.349 billion and the sale of assetscrediting cash for $1.441 billion.
  • However, cash from operating activities (in blue)totaled $8.519 billion and is more than enough cash to pay for the investment in fixed assets.

How to Evaluate Companies With Negative Cash Flow Investments (1)

What the Numbers Mean

In this example, an investor might be concerned about negative cash flow in investing activities to the tune of $1.8 billion.

However, when we delve into the numbers, we can see it's a positive sign.Exxon Mobil is an oil and gas producer. It needsto update its equipment like drilling rigs, and it needs to purchase equipment periodically. As a result, the negative cash flow from investing meansthe company is investing in its future growth.

If a company has a negative cash flow from investing activities because it hasmade poor decisions, the negative cash flow from investing activities might be a warning sign.

What Does a Cash Flow Statement Reveal?

A company's cash flow statement can reveal what phase the business is in. Is it an early startup, eager to grow its business quickly? Its cash flow statement may reveal that it's purchasing the facilities or equipment that it needs to ramp up. Is it a mature business? It may be developing new lines of business or acquiring rivals. If the business isn't doing much but treading water, that may be revealed by the cash flow statement as well.

How Is Cash Flow from Operating Activities Calculated?

There are two methods of calculating cash flow from operating activities:

The direct method: Take the sum of all cash collections from operations and subtract all of the cash disbursem*nts from operations.

The indirect method: Start with total net income and adjust it to subtract the impact of the accruals made during the reporting period, such as depreciation and amortization.

Either method will result in the same number.

Both of these methods comply with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP).

Can a Company Be Profitable and Have Negative Cash Flow?

Yes, a profitable company can have negative cash flow. Negative cash flow is not necessarily a bad thing, as long as it's not chronic or long-term. A single quarter of negative cash flow may mean an unusual expense or a delay in receipts for that period. Or, it could mean an investment in the company's future growth.

It's up to the investor to decide whether the investments listed under "cash flow investments" are worthy uses of the company's cash.

The Bottom Line

It's important to analyze the entire cash flow statement and all itscomponents to determine if the negative cash flow is a positiveor negative sign.

The most effective way to evaluate a negative cash flow situationis to calculatea company's free cash flow. Free cash flow is the money the company has left after paying for capital expenditures (CapEx) and operating expenses.

This is an important metric for investors because it shows how effective a company's management is at generating cash.

How to Evaluate Companies With Negative Cash Flow Investments (2024)

FAQs

How to Evaluate Companies With Negative Cash Flow Investments? ›

The most effective way to evaluate a negative cash flow situation is to calculate a company's free cash flow. Free cash flow is the money the company has left after paying for capital expenditures (CapEx) and operating expenses.

What happens if investing cash flow is negative? ›

Negative cash flow is often indicative of a company's poor performance. However, negative cash flow from investing activities might be due to significant amounts of cash being invested in the long-term health of the company, such as research and development.

Could a firm with negative free cash flow still be highly valued by investors? ›

Would it be possible for a company to report negative free cash flow and still be highly valued by investors; that is, could a negative free cash flow ever be viewed optimistically by investors? Explain your answer. Yes. Negative free cash flow is not necessarily bad.

What should a business do if it has a negative cash flow? ›

You can also consider funding for your business, including an unsecured loan or line of credit if you need to improve your cash position. While you'll need to repay the loan over time, financing can give you the funds you need to weather a slowdown or implement a strategy that will increase sales and improve profits.

How to value a company with no cash flow? ›

Asset Based

The value of a company with no future projected cash flow -- but one that does have assets -- would be based on a discounted value of the assets less liabilities. Cash, bonds and stocks are counted at face value. Real estate would be at market value, not the depreciated value.

How do you analyze negative cash flow? ›

One can conduct a basic cash flow analysis by examining the cash flow statement, determining whether there is net negative or positive cash flow, pinpointing how the outflows compare to inflows, and draw conclusions from that. However, there is no universally-accepted definition of cash flow.

Can you have profit with negative cash flow? ›

Simultaneous: It's possible for a business to be profitable and have a negative cash flow at the same time. It's also possible for a business to have positive cash flow and no profits.

What well known company has negative cash flows? ›

Elon Musk's Twitter woes continue. Twitter owner Elon Musk said the company still has a negative cash flow because of its heavy debt load and a roughly 50% drop in advertising revenue.

Can you use DCF with negative cash flow? ›

To deal with negative cash flows in DCF analysis, you need to do two things: project them accurately and discount them appropriately. Projecting negative cash flows accurately requires a realistic assessment of the business's performance, growth potential, and cash conversion cycle.

How do companies survive without profit? ›

A company can get by on high revenues and low or non-existent profits if investors believe that it will become profitable in the future. Amazon is just one example of a company that did that by focusing on growth and revenue rather than profit.

Can a profitable business fail because of cash flow? ›

According to a study, 82% of small businesses fail because of cash flow problems. This means that even if a business is profitable on paper, it can still go under if it doesn't have enough cash on hand to pay its bills and expenses.

Can a business fail because of cash flow problems? ›

While it may seem counter-intuitive, the answer is yes. Cash flow is not the same as revenue. Even if a business has a great market share and is turning a profit, it can still fail due to negative cash flow.

How can bad cash flow lead to business failure? ›

You need working capital to pay payroll before you get paid your final payment. The number one reason businesses fail because of cash flow is because they are pricing poorly. How well you price your products/services and the margin it produces is the key to maximizing cash flow.

How do you value a company based on cash flow? ›

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation
  1. Step 1: Understand Past Financial Statements and Business Operations.
  2. Step 2: Determine and Discount the Future Free Cash Flow.
  3. Step 3: Assign a Terminal Value.
  4. Post-Calculation Note: The Private Company Discount.

What are the main two three ways of valuing a company? ›

Though one particular method will likely make the most sense for your business, every entrepreneur should understand the three primary methods: market value, asset-based, and ROI-based. We'll explain how to apply the primary methods and several others with highly specific criteria.

How to evaluate a company for investment? ›

Answering Key Questions
  1. How does the company make money?
  2. Are its products or services in demand, and why?
  3. How has the company performed in the past?
  4. Are talented, experienced managers in charge?
  5. Is the company positioned for growth and profitability?
  6. How much debt does the company have?

Why would you have a negative cash flow? ›

What causes negative cash flow?
  • Low profits. Your business's primary source of income is profit. ...
  • Overinvesting. ...
  • Expedited growth. ...
  • Unexpected financial expenses. ...
  • Expensive overhead costs. ...
  • Past-due customer payments. ...
  • Too high or too low product pricing. ...
  • Poor financial planning.
Sep 9, 2020

Can cash flow from investing be positive? ›

Cash flow stems from operations, investing and financing activities, and normally moves from negative to positive as you grow past the startup phase. The cash flow statement in the financial statements helps you see whether the company is growing.

What does investing cash flow mean? ›

Cash flow from investing activities includes any inflows or outflows of cash from a company's long-term investments. The cash flow statement reports the amount of cash and cash equivalents leaving and entering a company. The sections of the cash flow statement are: Cash from operating activities.

How to analyze cash flow from investing activities? ›

The next component of a cash flow statement is investing cash flow. That bottom line is calculated by adding the money received from the sale of assets, paying back loans or selling stock and subtracting money spent to buy assets, stock or loans outstanding.

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